...And in some cases, current Premier League players. I mentioned last week the scouting potential we had from ESPN's gamecenter app. Although the data on lower and foreign leagues isn't nearly as accurate, it still shows us something. Using similar methods as I described last week, here are the Expected Goals and Shot Quality index for some of the newer Fulham players, and also some of the Championship's top prospects:
Most interesting to me is Zoltan Gera. We've seen him appear out of nowhere in dangerous areas this season, but according to this, he didn't do as much of that in the past. Also, his goals/expected ratio is a little low, suggesting that his questionable finishing isn't necessarily new. Dickson Etuhu looks like the exact opposite, although his 08/09 sample isn't much yet. Cardiff's Joe Ledley looks like a consistent quality shooter. So does Ben Watson, but Wigan got to him first. Giles Barnes' 06/07 season looks very encouraging. Anyway, I'll dig deeper into this over the summer, I'm sure. As for right now, I'm hard at work trying out some new ways to improve my existing stats, such as determining which events are most likely to lead to goals. I feel like we've got team performances (which really ultimately stems from goal difference) pretty well defined, but accurately distributing that amongst individuals is forever a work in progress.